2 Emergence of ordinal time

Time is the ordinal index of a random walk through the most compressible configurations. The minimal—and hence most compressible—path is the path of least change between consecutive configurations. That path is realised by a fair random bit-flip mutation of an n  -bit string: at each discrete tick one of the n  bits is chosen uniformly and flipped.

This dynamics is the Ehrenfest process. Let m  be the number of 1-bits and p = m ∕n  . The expected change in one tick is

𝔼 [Δm  ] = n-−-m − m- = 1− 2p.
           n      n
(1)

In the continuum limit one obtains the ordinary differential equation

dp-= 1-−-2p,
dt     n
(2)

where t  is the raw flip count (“bit-flip time”). Starting from the all-zero state p(0) = 0  the solution is

      1-(    −2t∕n)
p(t) = 2 1− e      .
(3)

The relaxation timescale is therefore O (n)  ticks. Rescaling to the dimensionless coordinate τ = t∕n  yields the universal curve

       1(     −2τ)
p(τ) = 2 1 − e    ,    τ ∈ [0,∞ ).
(4)

The associated Shannon entropy per bit is

S(τ)     (    )
-n---= H2 p(τ) ,
(5)

where H  (q) = − qlog q − (1− q)log (1− q)
  2           2             2  .

A further change of variable

x(τ) = 1− e−2τ ∈ [0,1)
(6)

produces a bounded time coordinate whose entropy is simply

S(x)      (   )
-----= H2  x∕2 .
 n
(7)

This is the universal entropy curve that any physical time scale is ultimately mapped onto.

Compressibility is measured by spectral complexity: the number of bits required to encode the modes (frequencies and phases) of a wavefunction. The Ehrenfest trajectory is the path of least spectral complexity; it is therefore the typical path under the natural measure on configuration space. Solomonoff induction, when formulated with spectral rather than Kolmogorov complexity, preferentially samples exactly this trajectory.